Post-pandemic cancer backlog could take decade to clear

The Institute for Public Policy Research has warned that it could take more than a decade to clear the cancer-treatment backlog in England.

The think tank’s research estimated 19,500 people who should have been diagnosed had not been, because of missed referrals.

Between March 2020 and February 2021, the number of referrals to see a specialist dropped by nearly 370,000 on the year before, a fall of 15 per cent. The report warns that behind these figures are thousands of people for whom it will now be too late to cure their cancer. It also estimates the proportion of cancers diagnosed while they are still highly curable - classed as stage one and two - has fallen from 44 per cent before to pandemic to 41 per cent.

IPPR says that if hospitals could achieve a five per cent increase in the number of treatments over pre-pandemic levels, it would take until 2033 to clear the backlog. However, if 15 per cent more could be completed, backlogs could be cleared by next year.

Dr Parth Patel, IPPR research fellow, said: "The pandemic has severely disrupted cancer services in England, undoing years of progress in improving cancer survival rates. Now, the health service faces an enormous backlog of care, that threatens to disrupt services for well over a decade.

"We know every delay poses risks to patients' chances of survival. Clearing the cancer care backlog before the next general election looks unlikely with the way the NHS is currently resourced, staffed and organised."